Poll: Biden and Warren both beat Trump and Pence in Florida
Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.), two of the leading candidates in the presidential primary, would both carry the state of Florida against President Trump or Vice President Pence in a general election, according to a new poll.
Biden beats Trump by 5 percentage points, with 48 percent of Florida respondents saying they would choose Biden and 43 percent saying they’d vote for Trump, based on a University of North Florida poll released Tuesday.
Warren would take the swing state with a 3 point margin over Trump, with 46 percent saying they would pick her and 43 percent picking Trump in the general election mock-up, based on the poll. ADVERTISEMENT
But Trump carried Florida in a mock-up against two other Democrats within the margin of error. Trump beats Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (Calif.) by 3 percentage points with 44 percent compared to her 41 percent, and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE by just 1 point, at 43 percent compared to the mayor’s 42 percent, based on the poll.
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No other Democratic candidates appear to have been polled against Trump in a general election mock-up.
Pollsters also tested the top two Democrats against Pence as the House continues an impeachment inquiry into Trump, and Pence could end up in the top role in the administration — and possibly the top spot on the Republican party ticket — ahead of the 2020 election.
According to the poll, Biden and Warren would beat Pence in a mock-up by even larger margins than they’d win over Trump in Florida.
Just 38 percent of voters said they would pick Pence when up against Biden, who got 49 percent of support. And 40 percent of voters said they would vote for Pence against Warren, who received 46 percent in the mock-up.
As in past election years, Florida will likely be a key state in the 2020 election. Trump’s narrow lead in Florida helped lead him to victory against Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE in 2016.
The poll is based on 669 completed surveys of registered Florida voters between Oct. 14 and Oct. 20. The margin of error is 3.8 percentage points. The data is weighted by partisan registration, age, race, sex and education.