Poll shows tight general election battle between Trump and top Democrats

President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE is running neck-and-neck with the top 2020 Democrats angling to challenge him, setting up a tight race in November, according to a survey released Thursday evening.

The Emerson College poll shows Trump within the margin of error in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups against Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.), Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.), former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE (D). 

Sanders is the only 2020 Democrat with a slight edge over Trump in the survey, leading him 51 percent to 49 percent among registered voters. Both Biden and Warren are locked in 50-50 ties with the president, while Buttigieg trails Trump by a 51 to 49 percent margin. The poll’s margin of error is 2.8 percentage points.

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The latest survey shows only nominal differences from the same poll in December, which had Biden and Sanders leading Trump 52 percent to 48 percent, Warren leading 51 to 49 percent and Buttigieg and the president tied at 50-50.

Trump’s approval rating is essentially running even, with 47 percent of registered voters saying they approve of the job he’s doing and 48 percent saying they disapprove. However, the president is slightly underwater with independents, with 44 percent approving of his performance and 49 percent disapproving. 

Thirty-six percent of voters said the most important issue they consider when deciding who to vote for is the economy, followed by health care at 16 percent and social issues at 13 percent. Only 8 percent said impeachment was the most important issue for them. 

The Emerson College poll surveyed 1,128 registered voters from Jan. 21 to 23.

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